Back to opinions
Rule 23 Criminal Criminal Procedure 5th District

People v. Kubina

Court IL Appellate, 5th District
Filed Monday, June 15, 2026
Citation 2026 IL App (5th) 240940

Key Takeaways

  • 1 Speedy trial IAC claim fails where defendant cannot prove State would have missed the deadline.
  • 2 Prejudice prong requires affirmative proof of different outcome, not speculative assumptions about opposing party's strategy.
  • 3 Relevant for criminal defense attorneys litigating ineffective assistance claims tied to speedy trial demands or compulsory joinder.

Summary

Shawn Kubina was charged in Fayette County with aggravated criminal sexual abuse and battery in August 2021. The State later filed two counts of criminal sexual assault in March 2023, with a grand jury indictment following in January 2024. Trial commenced days later; the State dismissed the original charges and proceeded solely on the sexual assault counts. The jury convicted Kubina on both counts, the court merged them, and sentenced him to eight years. On appeal, Kubina argued trial counsel was ineffective for failing to file a written speedy trial demand, which — under compulsory joinder principles — would have triggered the 160-day statutory clock and potentially required dismissal of the later-filed sexual assault charges if filed outside that window.

The Fifth District assumed without deciding that counsel's failure to file a written demand satisfied Strickland's performance prong, but found the prejudice prong dispositive. The court held that Kubina's argument was impermissibly speculative because it rested entirely on the assumption that the State would have filed the additional charges beyond 160 days regardless of a written demand. The court emphasized that a defendant must affirmatively prove a reasonable probability of a different outcome — not merely identify a conceivable effect — and that nothing in the record suggested the State would have failed to act within the statutory period had a demand been filed.

This decision reinforces that ineffective assistance claims premised on an opponent's hypothetical inaction face a high prejudice burden. Defense counsel advancing similar speedy trial or compulsory joinder IAC arguments must develop a factual record demonstrating why the State would not have adjusted its strategy in response to a timely demand.

Key Holdings

1. A defendant claiming ineffective assistance based on counsel's failure to file a written speedy trial demand must affirmatively prove — not merely assume — that the State would have filed related charges outside the 160-day statutory period, thereby establishing a reasonable probability of a different outcome under Strickland's prejudice prong.

2. The court assumed without deciding that failing to file a written speedy trial demand could satisfy Strickland's performance prong, but declined to resolve that question because the prejudice prong was independently dispositive.

3. Prejudice under Strickland requires more than showing a conceivable effect on the proceedings; speculation about what an opposing party would have done absent counsel's alleged error is insufficient to establish a reasonable probability of a different result.

4. Where the record contains no indication that the State would have been unprepared to file charges within the speedy trial period had a written demand been made, an IAC claim premised on a hypothetical speedy trial violation fails.